Sanado ka dib, dekedda Shiinuhu dhistay ayaa laga soo nooleynayaa waddanka Bariga Afrika ee Tansaaniya, dhammaystirkeeduna wuxuu faa’iidooyin istiraatiiji ah siin karaa ciidamada badda ee loo yaqaan ‘PLA Navy’ ee Badweynta Hindiya.
Laga soo bilaabo ISTIIRAANTA TAIWAN EE XUDUUDKA INDIYA, SHIINAHA ISTICMAALAYA XAALADDEEDA J-20 ‘MAGAALADA MAGAALADA AH’ EE TAHRIIBYADA FUDUD
Sanadihii la soo dhaafay, Shiinaha wuxuu balaadhiyay raadkiisa badda ee Badweynta Hindiya isagoo maalgashi ku sameeyay dekado muhiim ah sida Hambantota ee Sri Lanka, Gwadar ee Pakistan, iyo Doraleh ee Jabuuti.
Hadda, Tansaaniya waxay go’aansatay inay dib u soo nooleyso dekedda Bagamoyo oo ay ku baxday $ 10 bilyan oo doollar, ayay soo werisay Nikkei Asia.
Waxay ku taal meel qiyaastii 75 km koonfur ka xigta dekedda weyn ee Tansaaniya ee Dar es Salaam, dekedda Bagamoyo waxay sidoo kale siin kartaa Shiinaha marin laga galo Jamhuuriyadda Dimuqraadiga ah ee Congo, oo ah dhulka hoostiisa ku yaal oo lagu qiyaasay $ 24 tiriliyan oo doolar oo macdano ah oo aan weli la furin, oo ay ku jiraan dahab, ayay khubaradu xuseen. .
Falanqeeyayaasha qaar ayaa ku doodaya in dekedda Bagamoyo ay siin karto Shiinaha fursad ay ku xoojiso ujeeddooyinkeeda istiraatiijiyadeed ee gobolka. Waxay leeyihiin dekedda waxaa laga yaabaa in loo isticmaalo sidii xarun dayactir markab loogu talagalay ciidamada badda ee Shiinaha ee loo yaqaan “PLA Navy”, ama laga yaabee inay xitaa ka sii badato. Waa, ka dib, Afrika, in Shiinuhu ka aasaasay saldhigiisa milatari ee dibadda ee 2017 – Jabuuti.
Tansaaniya waxaa loo tixgeliyaa inay tahay qayb muhiim ah oo ka mid ah mashruuca Wadada Xariirta Badda ee Shiinaha iyo Hindisaha ballaaran ee loo yaqaan ‘Belt and Road Initiative (BRI)’. Heshiiska lagu dhisayo dekedda Bagamoyo waxaa saxiixay 2013 shirkadda ugu weyn ee Shiinaha ee dekedda maamusha, China Merchants Holdings.
Heshiiska ayaa saadaaliyay dhismaha deked weyn oo laga dhisi doono Bagamoyo, oo ay weheliyaan khadadka tareenka iyo aag dhaqaale oo gaar ah, sida uu sheegay The Executive Maritime.
Si kastaba ha noqotee, heshiiska ayaa waxaa diiday dowladda Tanzaaniya kadib iyadoo ku sababeysay in dalabyo badan oo ay soo bandhigtay shirkadda Shiinaha aysan waxtar u lahayn waddanka Bariga Afrika.
Toddobaad ka hor go’aanka dib u soo nooleynta dekedda Tansaaniya, warbixin ay soo saartay dowladda Shiinaha ee CGTN ayaa muujisay xiriirka dhow ee ka dhexeeya Beijing iyo Dodoma.
Waxay sheegtay in Madaxweynaha Shiinaha Xi Jinping uu rajaynayo iskaashi uu la yeesho Tansaaniya oo hoos timaada BRI isla markaana lagu ballaariyo qaybaha kala duwan sida beeraha, gaadiidka, isgaarsiinta, dalxiiska, iyo tamarta.
Shiinaha miyuu adeegsaday Nidaamka Difaaca Gantaalaha ‘S-400’ ee ‘Awooddiisa-badan leh’ Meel u dhow Xudduudda Hindiya iyo Shiinaha ee ‘lagu muransan yahay’?
Joogitaanka Shiinaha ee Afrika
Shiinaha wuxuu u daawanayay Badweynta Hindiya si ka wada-hadal badan waddamada deriska ah, Darshana Baruah, oo ah saaxiib-wadaag barnaamijka Koonfurta Aasiya ee Carnegie Endowment for Peace Peace, ayaa u sheegtay Nikkei Asia.
Wadamo badan ayaa iloobaya xaqiiqda ah in Afrika ay tahay qayb muhiim ah oo ka mid ah Badweynta Hindiya. Sidaa darteed, waxaa la xusay in isku day kasta oo lagu doonayo in deked ama xarun laga sameeyo Afrika, uu yeelan doono iska caabin ka yar isku day la mid ah qaybaha kale ee Badweynta Hindiya, ha ahaato Myanmar, Sri Lanka, Maldives, ama Pakistan.
Ka dib mashruucii Jabuuti ee 2017, saldhig labaad ee ciidamada badda ee Badweynta Hindiya ayaa xallin kara ku tiirsanaanta Shiinaha ee Malacca Strait – adduunka ugu mashquulka badan ee loo yaqaan ‘chokepoint’, oo sidoo kale loo yaqaan Shiinaha “Malacca Dilemma”.
Saldhigyada kale ee Badweynta Hindiya waxay u noqon karaan kuwo faa’iido u leh Shiinaha haddii ay dhacdo isku dhac xaddidan oo ka dhaca Marinka Malacca. “Xitaa haddii ay wax ka dhacaan marinka Malacca gudaheeda, haddii ay lahaan lahaayeen laba saldhig ama xarumo ka badan oo ku yaal Badweynta Hindiya, weli way sii wadi karaan howlagalkooda gobolka Badweynta Hindiya,” ayuu raaciyay Baruah.
Saldhig ku yaal Bariga Afrika ayaa sidoo kale faa’iidooyin ku leh kiiska marinka Suez ee ay la soo gudboonaato dhibaato, oo la mid ah dhacdadii ugu dambeysay markii markab dhererkiisu yahay 400 mitir oo dherer ah uu xannibay Kanaalka Suweys muddo toddobaad ku dhow.
Xaaladda noocaas ah, kanaalka ballaadhan ee 400-km ah ee u dhexeeya Madagascar iyo Mozambique waxaa loo isticmaali karaa waddo kale oo loo maro maraakiibta laga raaco Bariga Afrika.
Sanadihii lasoo dhaafay, Shiinuhu wuxuu balaadhiyay culeyskiisa dhanka badda ah laga bilaabo baddaha Koonfurta iyo Bariga Shiinaha illaa Badweynta Hindiya. Waa waddanka kaliya ee aasaasa ergooyin diblomaasiyadeed dhammaan lixda dal ee jasiiradaha ku yaal Badweynta Hindiya – Sri Lanka, Maldives, Mauritius, Seychelles, Madagascar, iyo Comoros.
Shiinaha Gobolka Badweynta Hindiya
Danaha Shiinaha ee Gobolka Badweynta Hindiya ayaa siyaabo kala duwan u kordhay sababo kala duwan awgood. Sida laga soo xigtay qiyaasaha, qiyaastii 80 boqolkiiba saliida Shiinaha ee la soo dhoofiyo waxay sii maraan Badweynta Hindiya iyo Malacca Straits, iyo qiyaastii boqolkiiba 95 ee ganacsiga waddanka ee Bariga Dhexe, Afrika, iyo Yurub ayaa sidoo kale mara Badweynta Hindiya.
Marka laga eego aragtida Shiinaha, gobolkan waxaa gacanta ku hayey cadawgiisa waaweyn – Mareykanka iyo Hindiya, sida ku xusan maqaal ay soo saartay War On The Rocks. Waxay leedahay khubaro badan oo Shiineys ah waxay u arkaan Badweynta Hindiya inay tahay wadada kaliya ee Shiinuhu ku balaadhin karo awooddiisa bada.
Iyadoo muujineysa baahida loo qabo in Shiinaha ay saldhigyo ka sameysato gobolka Badweynta Hindiya, warbixinta ayaa xustay falanqeyn ay sameeyeen seddex baarayaal Shiine ah oo sheegay in saldhig la’aanta ku jirta IOR ay caqabad weyn ku tahay fidinta danaha qaran ee Shiinaha.
sii maraan Badweynta Hindiya iyo Malacca Straits, iyo qiyaasta ku saabsan 95 ee ganacsatada wanaagsan ee Bariga Dhexe, Afrika, iyo Yurub ayaa sidoo kale mara Badweynta Hindiya.
Marka laga fiirsado aragtida Shiinaha, gobolkan ayaa si weyn loogu dhaleeceynayaa waayeelka – Mareykanka iyo Hindiya, sida ku xusan maqaalkan ayaa waxaa lagu soo qoray War On The Rocks Waxay leedahay khubaro badan oo Shiineys ah waxay u arki doontaa Badweynta Hindiya inay tahay wadada kaliya ee Shiinuhu ku balaadhin karo awooddiisa bada.
Marka la muujiyo baahi loo qabo qabo in Shiinaha ay saldhig u tahay isla gobolka Badweynta Hindiya, ayaa waxaa si wanaagsan loo falanqeynayaa dhibaatooyinka seddex baarayaal Shiine oo sheegay in saldhig la’aanta jirta IOR ay caqabad weyn tahay
